Study 2: Beyond 19 GW → Explore

Place Data Center Load, See Where the Grid Breaks

Study 2 showed that 70% of data center load landing in Northern Virginia overwhelms the Dominion zone at just 1–2 GW. Use the sliders below to explore how total DC load and its spatial distribution drive hours of unserved energy—under both deterministic and stochastic conditions.

Total DC Load 5GW

New always-on data center load added to PJM. Current pipeline: 40+ GW requested.

05101520
Dominion Share 70%

Fraction of DC load placed in Northern Virginia. Today's reality: ~70%.

0%25%50%75%100%

Deterministic: 2024 profiles, interpolated from simulation sweeps. MC: 200-draw stochastic mean at 70/30, scaled proportionally. Single-node from MC.

GW in Dominion
3.5
of DC load
GW in Rest-of-PJM
1.5
of DC load
DOM Hours Unserved
374
deterministic (2024)
FAILURE
DOM Hours (MC Mean)
531
200-draw stochastic
FAILURE
Single-Node MC Mean
7
hours — what Study 1's model sees (no spatial detail)
Distribution Sweep at 5 GW DC — All Dominion Shares
DOM Share GW in DOM Det. Hours MC Mean Est. Reliability

MC mean estimated by scaling deterministic hours by the MC/deterministic ratio at 70% share. Reliability: green < 9 hrs (LOLE standard), gold 9–100 hrs, rose > 100 hrs.

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